Algorithmic Trading & Indicators Intermediate

Calculate Nifty & BankNifty Weekly Expiry Max Pain Strike from Option Chain in Python

Compute the exact Option Max Pain strike price in Python Pandas where option writers experience minimum aggregate intrinsic payout loss at weekly expiry.

#pandas#numpy

Problem Statement

Institutional option sellers dominate weekly index expiries. The Max Pain strike is the exact index level where the combined intrinsic value of all outstanding Call and Put Open Interest (OI) is minimized.

Formula / Core Logic

For candidate expiry price S_k: Call_Pain(S_k) = Sum [ max(0, S_k - K_i) * Call_OI_i ] Put_Pain(S_k) = Sum [ max(0, K_i - S_k) * Put_OI_i ] Max_Pain_Strike = argmin(Call_Pain + Put_Pain)

Installation

pip install pandas numpy
nifty-option-chain-max-pain-strike-calculator-python.py
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np

def calculate_max_pain(chain_df):
    # Expected cols: Strike, CE_OI, PE_OI
    strikes = chain_df['Strike'].values
    ce_oi = chain_df['CE_OI'].values
    pe_oi = chain_df['PE_OI'].values
    
    total_payout = []
    for expiry_candidate in strikes:
        call_loss = np.sum(np.maximum(0.0, expiry_candidate - strikes) * ce_oi)
        put_loss = np.sum(np.maximum(0.0, strikes - expiry_candidate) * pe_oi)
        total_payout.append(call_loss + put_loss)
        
    out = chain_df.copy()
    out['Total_Writer_Pain'] = total_payout
    max_pain_strike = out.loc[out['Total_Writer_Pain'].idxmin(), 'Strike']
    return int(max_pain_strike), out

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q: Is Max Pain more reliable on expiry day Afternoon sessions?

Yes, as extrinsic time value (Theta) decays toward zero after 1:30 PM on expiry day, spot prices frequently gravitate toward the highest concentration of short strikes.